① 他说过的话

12 条

当我们实际测试让客户尝试直接用智能体通过我们的平台交付工作成果时，智能体的失败率高得惊人。
When we’ve actually done testing of clients trying to use agents directly to deliver work products through our platform, the failure rate of agents is incredibly high.
—— Hayden Brown · [10:24]

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但只要你加入一点点人类专业知识，与专家进行几轮来回沟通，成功率一下子就提高了 70% 以上。
But when you just add a little bit of human expertise and a few back and forth with an expert, suddenly the success rate goes up more than 70%.
—— Hayden Brown · [10:39]

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他说，你不可能在研讨会上学会骑自行车。
he said, you can’t learn to ride a bike in a seminar.
—— Hayden Brown · [25:52]

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人类会赢还是机器会赢——我认为这让我们分心，在某些情况下，没有把我们集体的社会能量投入到建设一个人人皆赢的未来。
will humans win or machines win, I think that is distracting us from, in some cases, putting, you know, our collective societal energy towards building a future where everyone wins,
—— Hayden Brown · [30:27]

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你知道，我认为如今存在的 60% 的工作在 1940 年时并不存在。
You know, I think it’s 60% of jobs that exist today did not exist in 1940.
—— Hayden Brown · [06:51]

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我们并不认为大规模的工作毁灭是未来。
We do not see mass job destruction as the future.
—— Hayden Brown · [07:30]

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我们最近做的一项调查显示，我们自己的客户中已有 23% 实际上已经把工作从 AI 移回给人类，或者即将这么做。
A recent survey we did showed that 23% of our own clients have actually already moved work back to humans from AI or are about to do so.
—— Hayden Brown · [10:12]

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而且坦率地说，它推进了这种精英选拔的理念：不该看谁拥有最好的智能体，或者谁在纸面上听起来最光鲜，而是真正看谁拥有数据和经验来证明他们能完成所需的工作。
And frankly, advancing this meritocratic idea of it shouldn’t be about who has the best agent or who sounds the most shiny on paper, but really who has the data and the experience to demonstrate that they can do the work that’s required.
—— Hayden Brown · [14:50]

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而现在，由于美国主要提供商的 token 成本大幅上涨，确实有一些使用场景，我们知道通过使用开源模型、在我们自己的环境里安全地运行，可以获得 10 倍甚至更多的节省。
And now that token costs have been going up so significantly from the major providers here in the US, there are definitely use cases where we know we can get, you know, 10x savings or more by using open source models and doing it safely inside of our own environments.
—— Hayden Brown · [20:34]

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拥有 AI 技能的自由职业者每小时收入高出 34%。
Freelancers that have AI skills are earning 34% more hour.
—— Hayden Brown · [23:38]

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现在在产品方面，如果你有一份一年的路线图，而实际上你在第 11 个月执行的还是你开始时所想的同一件事，那可能就有问题了，因为你会学到多得多的东西，技术也会变得更强大。
Now in product, if you have a one-year roadmap and really you’re executing the same thing in month 11 that you thought you would be, you know, when you started, something’s probably wrong because you will have learned so much more and the technology will become more capable.
—— Hayden Brown · [28:38]

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因为我认为，组织中围绕相互竞争的优先级和人们朝不同方向前进的冗余越多，就会让穿越这类环境的导航变得更加困难，因为外部如此不稳定，你需要拥有内部完全锁定的稳定和专注。
Because I think, you know, the more cruft there is in the organization around competing priorities and people moving in different directions, that just makes navigating through these types of environments even harder because it’s so unstable externally that you need to have, like, full locked down stability and focus internally.
—— Hayden Brown · [28:06]

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② 出现在这些集

1 集

• 《Upwork CEO 谈 AI 时代的工作：智能体雇人、自由职业激增与裁员真相》 — 作为嘉宾

③ 他谈到的

点进去有真内容 —— 本页主要出口

Bob Safian · Upwork · 智能体 · MCP 服务器 · 开源模型 · 自由职业 · AI 编排师 · ChatGPT · Claude · Anthropic

④ 也在聊「创业与行业」的人