Keith Rabois
① 他说过的话
22 条
如果你雇佣了更多的人，而没有增加我所谓的能从构想到成功推动的「burials」，你实际上只是在同一个计划背后堆积人员。
指向原始笔记的链接
If you hire more people without expanding the number of what I call burials that can drive from inception to success, all you’re doing is stacking people behind the same initiatives.
—— Keith Rabois · [16:44]
当你是一家初创公司时，你不仅有工资帽，你的工资帽可能只有你竞争对手的十分之一。
指向原始笔记的链接
When you’re a startup, not only do you have a salary cap, you probably have one 10th the salary cap of the people you’re competing with.
—— Keith Rabois · [26:06]
CEO 的唯一角色就是抵消那种自满。
指向原始笔记的链接
The single role for the CEO is offsetting that complacency.
—— Keith Rabois · [28:45]
但当公司蓬勃发展时，挑剔和孤立那些最终会成为问题的东西真的很重要，即使公司里的每个人都非常快乐，甚至有点自满。
指向原始笔记的链接
But when the company’s thriving, it’s really important to be critical and isolating things that will eventually be problems while everybody in the company’s really happy and borderline complacent.
—— Keith Rabois · [29:59]
他让我相信，PM（产品经理）这个概念在未来基本上讲不通。
指向原始笔记的链接
And he convinced me that the idea of a PM makes no sense basically in the future.
—— Keith Rabois · [35:33]
99% 的时间他们会告诉你除了真实原因之外的每一个原因。
指向原始笔记的链接
99% of the time they will tell you every reason except the real reason.
—— Keith Rabois · [53:02]
高性能机器没有心理安全感。它们是为了赢。
指向原始笔记的链接
High performance machines don’t have psychological safety. They’re about winning.
—— Keith Rabois · [74:41]
就我个人而言，我是个技术乐观主义者，我认为如果你不相信技术是改善社会的魔杖，你就不该干这一行。
指向原始笔记的链接
I mean, personally, I’m a tech optimist and I don’t think you should be in this profession unless you believe that tech is this magic wand that improves society.
—— Keith Rabois · [02:26]
而且这会继续下去，另外零缺陷哲学在我看来完全说不通。
指向原始笔记的链接
And this is gonna continue, you know, and then also the zero defect philosophy just doesn’t make any sense to me.
—— Keith Rabois · [03:44]
在我看来，过日子时想着所有可能出错的事，是一种荒谬的活法。
指向原始笔记的链接
Like living your life thinking about everything that can go wrong is just a nonsensical way to live in my view.
—— Keith Rabois · [04:02]
如果我们不通过技术改善世界，那些我们不喜欢的人、我们不认同其价值观的人、我们不认为他们尊重人的尊严的人，会利用技术，而我们最终会生活在一个我们不喜欢的世界里。
指向原始笔记的链接
And if we don’t improve the world through technology, other people that we don’t like, and we don’t like their values, and we don’t believe that they celebrate or recognize human dignity, are going to take advantage of technology, and we’re going to wind up in a world we don’t like.
—— Keith Rabois · [04:24]
所以那些人们认为可能带来灾难、可能构成威胁、可能消灭所有人的东西，结果基本上稳定了世界，并使你更有可能活到正常的寿命。
指向原始笔记的链接
So things that people think are potentially catastrophic, they’re potentially threatening, could exterminate all people, et cetera, have turned out to basically stabilize the world and make it more likely that you’re going to live a normal lifespan.
—— Keith Rabois · [05:35]
至于我想让谁来决定人类的未来，这并不那么明显。
指向原始笔记的链接
It’s not so obvious who I’d want to make decisions about the future of mankind.
—— Keith Rabois · [06:13]
想想当高中生都能把火箭送上月球时，世界会是什么样子。
指向原始笔记的链接
And think about what the world’s like when high school kids are putting rockets to the moon.
—— Keith Rabois · [07:27]
截至今天，每一项关于 AI 带来失业的预测在经验事实上都是绝对错误的。
指向原始笔记的链接
Every single prediction about job loss associated with AI as of today is absolutely empirically false.
—— Keith Rabois · [10:35]
比如现在最好的机会更多在技能型行业里。
指向原始笔记的链接
Like the best opportunities right now are more in the trades.
—— Keith Rabois · [11:16]
而且这些是高薪的，是美国收入中位数的 2 倍、3 倍。
指向原始笔记的链接
And these are high-paying 2x, 3x the median income of the United States.
—— Keith Rabois · [11:20]
我们在 RAMP 具体的解决方式是，我们不招资深的人。
指向原始笔记的链接
The way we solve this at RAMP specifically is we don’t hire senior people.
—— Keith Rabois · [14:05]
所以我觉得，有时候创始人在分享指标这件事上过于乐观，直到吃了苦头。
指向原始笔记的链接
So I think there’s sometimes founders are overly optimistic about sharing metrics until it’s painful.
—— Keith Rabois · [16:17]
是由 token 及等价物驱动的，而 RAMP 将成为人们管理 token 支出、优化支出、衡量 ROI 的主要方式，这大概会在很多方面让我们与 Anthropic 相撞。
指向原始笔记的链接
of the world is driven through tokens and equivalent, and RAMP’s going to be the primary way people manage their token spend, how they optimize it, how they measure ROI, and that will lead us to collide probably with Anthropic in many ways.
—— Keith Rabois · [17:22]
话虽如此，我认为识别出赢家公司比人们意识到的要困难得多，包括我的同事在内。
指向原始笔记的链接
That said, I think identifying the winning companies is much more challenging than people realize, including my colleagues.
—— Keith Rabois · [19:32]
最令人印象深刻的那类人，实际上会把你的部分批评重新混搭，然后给出一个新答案。
指向原始笔记的链接
The ones that are most impressive actually will remix some of your critiques and then have a new answer.
—— Keith Rabois · [25:56]
② 出现在这些集
2 集
- 《Keith Rabois：别招大厂高管，别做客户调研》 — 作为主持
- 《AI 会毁灭人类？传奇投资人 Rabois 说你想多了》 — 作为主持
③ 他谈到的
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