Labs
集里怎么说它
- 《Anthropic 产品负责人:评估是新的 PRD,不反驳你的 AI 才是好 AI》(01:36起):本集将其描述为 Anthropic 内部旨在拉扯非连续性大押注、探索 10 倍乃至 1000 倍潜力的实验室团队,拥有自下而上、小团队试错的创新文化。
- 《Martin Casado:AI 时代,钱比以前好使了》(00:03起):本集讨论前沿实验室是否会吞噬一切:支持方认为它们有三年数据证明拥有 95% 市场、筹资能力惊人、只需比对手好一点就能维持定价权、掌握全部算力供应;反对方认为 AI 应用表面积在扩大、开源在成熟、资本便宜的优势会回归理性
① 提到它的金句
11 条
AI 将在未来非常重要和丰富,并不一定意味着所有的价值都将被这些 AI 实验室捕获。
指向原始笔记的链接
AI is going to be hugely important and abundant in the future does not necessarily mean that all the value is going to be captured by these AI labs.
—— Patrick Collison · [25:00]
不幸的是,前沿实验室确实有小模型,但你无法真正以你想要的方式控制它们。
指向原始笔记的链接
Unfortunately, the Frontier labs, they do have small models, but you can’t really control them in the way that you want.
—— Ashwin Srinivas · [00:27]
我认为人们已经了解到,无论 AI 实验室在这些东西周围设置了什么护栏,你都不能依赖模型来阻止自己或理解上下文。
指向原始笔记的链接
And I think what people have learned is that regardless of guardrails that the AI labs are putting around these things, you can’t rely on models to stop themselves or to understand context.
—— Nick Warner · [07:16]
供应限制将在 2028 年左右缓解。我认为大型实验室按美元加权可能会获得未来 80% 的市场份额,因为这是我们历史上看到的大型在位者的情况。但我认为按 token 加权,60% 将是长尾和开源。
指向原始笔记的链接
Supply constraints will ease in 2028-ish. I think that the big labs will probably dollar weighted, get 80% of the market going forward because that’s historically what we’ve seen for large incumbents. But I think token weighted 60% will be long tail and open source.
—— Martin Casado · [16:39]
称开源模型为中国模型是前沿实验室的一种心理战,基本上是欺骗人们认为它们很可怕并将它们异类化。
指向原始笔记的链接
Calling open source models Chinese models is a PSYOP by the Frontier Labs to basically trick people into thinking that they’re scary and otherize them.
—— Eno Reyes · [00:36]
实验室内部的薪酬包非常慷慨,比 FAANG 公司还要慷慨得多,而这在五六年前是不成立的。
指向原始笔记的链接
The comp packages are very generous within the labs, much more so than the FAANG companies, which was not true five or six years ago.
—— Amandeep Khurana · [16:58]
我认为在几乎所有可能的演进场景中,绝大部分的利润美元仍会流向闭源实验室。
指向原始笔记的链接
And I think the vast majority of the dollars in profit will still go to the closed labs in almost all scenarios that this plays out.
—— Aaron Levie · [19:12]
从地缘政治角度说,如果西方国家试图把来自非西方国家的开源模型做分叉切断,限制它们在西方国家内的可用性,强迫人们使用前沿实验室的模型,我认为那是一个非常糟糕的主意。
指向原始笔记的链接
Geopolitically, I think it’s a very bad idea, if Western countries were to try to bifurcate the open-source models coming from non-Western states, restricting their availability within Western states and forcing use of frontier labs.
—— Eric Simons · [22:24]
对我们来说,我们想在定价上变得非常激进。这里正在发生的巨大变化是,开源模型真的在追赶那些实验室。
指向原始笔记的链接
For us, we want to get really aggressive on pricing. The big sea change happening here is that open-source models are really catching up with the labs.
—— Eric Simons · [24:52]
我们的前沿实验室明显领先于中国的前沿实验室,很大程度上是因为我们有更好的硅片。
指向原始笔记的链接
Our frontier labs are meaningfully ahead of the Chinese frontier labs in no small part because we have better silicon.
—— Zavain Dar · [26:37]
如果研究实验室不拥有最好的产品,那才真是疯了,因为他们拿到了所有关于人们如何使用他们产品的数据。
指向原始笔记的链接
It would be really wild if the research labs didn’t have the best product, because they’re getting all of this data on how folks are using their products.
—— Demetrios Brinkmann · [38:34]
② 出现在这些集
2 集
③ 关联
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