集里怎么说它

• 《不会写代码的人如何成为全职 vibe coder》(00:59起):本集认为在 AI 世界中，人们不会因为更快的原始产出而获得回报，而是因为更好的判断力
• 《AI 时代产品经理的生存指南》(13:50起):本集描述为未来产品经理最核心的竞争力。指评估产品变更是好是坏、以及如何构建可持续和差异化产品的系统性能力，因为机械性的工作都将被 AI 接管。
• 《Science 公司创始人 Max Hodak:深科技创业的成败,90% 看基础设施》(12:07起):本集说创业没有通用算法,就是一长系列判断决策;判断力校准靠口述传统和真实博弈的强化学习,创始人绝对无法把自己的判断外包
• 《AI 时代，工程师的判断力与品味如何修炼》(01:00起):本集将判断力定义为：不是尽快找到解决方案，而是保持步调、同时容纳多种替代思路并享受权衡评估的过程，思考二阶效应和未来可能站不住脚的假设，本质是’预演未来’
• 《终结 AI 垃圾内容：Taste Labs 如何度量并对抗 slop》(02:15起):本集认为生产成本归零后，变得昂贵、比以往任何时候都重要的是判断力——辨别什么是对的、把问题拆解到能理解并构建解决方案的能力。
• 《一年估值从 30 亿涨到 110 亿：Harvey 怎么边狂奔边招一千人》(01:12起):Maggie 认为在自主权大、出手机会多的快节奏环境里，判断力是稀缺硬素质：不是找 20 个人要反馈，而是知道按下发送之前该让哪个对的人先看过。

① 提到它的金句

38 条

我们不会在 AI 世界中因为更快的原始产出而获得回报；我们会因为更好的判断力而获得回报。
We won’t be rewarded in the world of AI for faster raw output; we will be rewarded for better judgment.
—— Lazar Jovanovic · [20:24]

指向原始笔记的链接

我认为这是因为 1 个 PM 可以做比以往任何时候多得多的事情，但没有那么多有这种技能、有那种判断力、是 AI 化的、无畏地经历所有这些环节的人，而且顺便说一句，他们要知道 PM 角色中最重要的事情永远且永远不会改变的是他们必须贴近客户。
I think it’s because 1PM can do so much more than ever before, but there aren’t that many of them who are that skilled, that have that judgment, who are AI-pilled, who fearlessly are going through all of these pieces and, by the way, know that one of the most important things forever and will never change about the PM role is that they have to stay close to their customers.
—— Jiaona Zhang · [61:32]

指向原始笔记的链接

领导力就是判断力。不是特权。是判断力。
Leadership is just judgment. It’s not privilege. It’s judgment.
—— Lin Qiao · [69:27]

指向原始笔记的链接

我现在做事非常快，你知道，就像这类技能问题几乎消失了，所以现在全都在于判断力，以及我做的事是否能驱动最大的业务价值。
I can do things very quickly now you know it’s like this skill issues have almost gone away so now it’s all about judgment and am I doing what is going to drive the most business value.
—— Osvald Nitski · [15:38]

指向原始笔记的链接

所以我非常小心，绝不把判断或决策委托给模型，因为它们会让你以为它做的是对的事，但你仍然必须对它们保持偏执。
So I want very careful never to delegate judgment or decision-making to models because they make you think that it’s doing the right thing, but you have to be paranoid with them still.
—— Osvald Nitski · [26:37]

指向原始笔记的链接

特别是那些没有提升其产品判断力的 PM,没有提升他们的编排技能以匹配工程师的新速度。
Particularly we see PMs who are not speeding up their product judgment, speeding up their orchestration skills to match the new speed of the engineers.
—— Oji Udezue · [03:25]

指向原始笔记的链接

作为创业公司创始人，更难的教训之一，我认为真正难以应对的事情之一，就是你无法把你的判断委托给别人。
And one of the harder lessons as a startup founder, one of the harder things I think to really deal with is the fact that you cannot delegate your judgment.
—— Max Hodak · [20:32]

指向原始笔记的链接

你不能委托你的判断。
you cannot delegate your judgment.
—— Max Hodak · [20:38]

指向原始笔记的链接

而在一个规模足够大的组织里，找到一个能够对整个组织做出合理判断的人，实际上非常难。
And at a sufficiently scaled organization, finding someone who can apply the judgment that makes sense for their entire organization is actually really hard.
—— Dennis Pilarinos · [06:08]

指向原始笔记的链接

那些在自己试图颠覆的行业里摸爬滚打到顶层的人，他们的判断现在正在变成智能体。
So the person who sort of has lived to the complete of the industry that they’re trying to revolutionize, their judgment is now turning into agents.
—— Ayush Bhardwaj · [13:46]

指向原始笔记的链接

这些模型在执行上真的很强，但在判断力上仍然不怎么样。
But the models are really good at execution, but still not unbelievable at judgment.
—— Hursh Agrawal · [04:28]

指向原始笔记的链接

所以，这个赌注是：实现只会越来越便宜，而判断力不会。
So, the bet is implementation is only getting cheaper and judgment is not.
—— Kieran Klaassen · [18:50]

指向原始笔记的链接

如果你想达到判断转移到你 AI 工具的那一天，那就是 AI 智慧，那时那些经验需要以正确的方式、在正确的位置被固化，为了智能体和人类。
If you want to get to a point where judgment is moving to your AI tools, that’s AI wisdom where that experience needs to be codified in the right way, the right place for agents and humans.
—— Itamar Friedman · [18:03]

指向原始笔记的链接

所以价值从做操作性工作转移到了判断。
So the value sort of shifts from doing operational work to judgment.
—— Srini Raghavan · [26:20]

指向原始笔记的链接

编码和商业知识以及编写产品需求的经验在过去很重要，但现在判断非常重要。
coding and business knowledge and experience of writing product requirements was important in the past, but now judgment is very important.
—— Srini Raghavan · [35:18]

指向原始笔记的链接

如果他们正在构建正确的产品，他们将能够利用这种判断力，以便今天的判断力成为明天的智能。
And if they’re building the right product, they will be able to harness that judgment so that the judgment of today is the intelligence of tomorrow.
—— Julien Bek · [61:45]

指向原始笔记的链接

我只是提议的是，我们可以构建拥有像软件一样利润率的公司，即使仍然有人类在做出判断性决策。
What I’m just proposing is that we can build companies that will have software-like margins, even though there are still humans that are making the judgment calls.
—— Julien Bek · [63:04]

指向原始笔记的链接

实现正变得丰富，但判断力并非如此。
Implementation is becoming abundant, but judgment isn’t.
—— Malika Rao · [01:00]

指向原始笔记的链接

人类仍然在循环中,并且实际上加入了自己的判断、品味和销售独门秘诀,但他们不再是从一张白纸开始。
The human is still in the loop and actually adds their own judgment and taste and sales secret sauce, but they’re no longer starting from a blank slate.
—— Flora Liu · [16:31]

指向原始笔记的链接

你到不了 100,因为那 10% 是人类判断，人类决策。
You can’t get to 100 because that 10% is human judgment, human decision making.
—— Jonathan Gordon · [13:27]

指向原始笔记的链接

我甚至不想在这里用“品味”这个词，是判断力。
I don’t even want to use the word taste here, is judgment.
—— Thais Castello Branco · [09:06]

指向原始笔记的链接

执行是你押上身家性命的部分，所以它必须是确定性的；而判断是增加细微差别的部分，那才是你唯一能放进概率性东西的地方。
Enforcement is the part that you bet the house on, so it has to be deterministic, but judgment is the part that adds nuance, so that’s really the only place that you can put anything probabilistic in there.
—— Sarah Sanders · [16:15]

指向原始笔记的链接

就是品味和判断力，这些技能一直都很有价值，但现在会变得至关重要。
Just taste and judgment are the skills that have always been valuable but now will get to the limit.
—— Tobi Lütke · [31:16]

指向原始笔记的链接

一个判断力低下的人可以非常快速地创造出大量质量极低的东西。
A person who is exercising low judgment can create a high volume of very low quality stuff very quickly.
—— Wade Foster · [58:15]

指向原始笔记的链接

模型从来都不是真正的瓶颈,围绕模型的判断力才是。
So the model was never really the bottleneck. The judgment around the model is.
—— Andrew Orobator · [03:12]

指向原始笔记的链接

人类是隐式吸收判断力的,智能体则需要判断力被显式化。
Humans absorb judgment implicitly. Agents require judgment explicitly.
—— Andrew Orobator · [02:38]

指向原始笔记的链接

一个 skill,就是把机构判断力变成可执行的东西。
A skill is institutional judgment made executable.
—— Andrew Orobator · [04:22]

指向原始笔记的链接

文档保存事实,而 skill 保存判断力。
Documentation preserves facts, while skills preserve judgment.
—— Andrew Orobator · [05:06]

指向原始笔记的链接

模型写代码,我写判断。
The model wrote the code, and I wrote the judgment.
—— Andrew Orobator · [12:43]

指向原始笔记的链接

编码进去的判断会腐烂。
Encoded judgment rots.
—— Andrew Orobator · [16:17]

指向原始笔记的链接

扩展判断力,而不是扩展模型。
Scale the judgment, not the model.
—— Andrew Orobator · [18:12]

指向原始笔记的链接

你会在我构建的很多其他技能里看到这一点，就是我尝试把确定性的部分提取出来变成代码，只把真正需要判断力的部分留给智能体。
And you’ll see this in a lot of the other skills that I’ve built, is like I try to extract out the deterministic parts and turn that into code and just leave only the parts that actually require judgment to the agent.
—— Poteto · [21:46]

指向原始笔记的链接

那实际上将会是大多数企业把他们的判断专长固化的方式——基本上就是模型用得越多，它就变得越好。
That is actually going to be how most enterprises codify their judgment expertise by basically the more they use the model, the better that it gets.
—— Yash · [10:04]

指向原始笔记的链接

但现在，判断力和优先级排序已经胜过了机械式的实现技能。
But judgment and prioritization now beat mechanical implementation skill.
—— Davis Palmie · [15:49]

指向原始笔记的链接

所以这种判断力才是人们在花钱买的。
So that judgment is what people are paying for.
—— Ankit Shukla · [04:25]

指向原始笔记的链接

Slop 就是生成速度超过判断速度时产生的结果。
Slop is what happens when generation outruns judgment.
—— Gabriel Martinez · [00:41]

指向原始笔记的链接

他们完全没想到最耗时的部分，也就是人的部分、最后一公里，判断力所在的地方。
They’re not at all thinking about the most time-consuming bits, the human parts, the last mile, where the judgment lives.
—— Gabriel Martinez · [06:32]

指向原始笔记的链接

未来是带有判断力的编排。
The future is orchestration with judgment.
—— Gabriel Martinez · [16:51]

指向原始笔记的链接

② 出现在这些集

6 集

• 《不会写代码的人如何成为全职 vibe coder》 — 作为概念(提及)
• 《AI 时代产品经理的生存指南》 — 作为概念
• 《Science 公司创始人 Max Hodak:深科技创业的成败,90% 看基础设施》 — 作为概念
• 《AI 时代，工程师的判断力与品味如何修炼》 — 作为概念
• 《终结 AI 垃圾内容：Taste Labs 如何度量并对抗 slop》 — 作为概念
• 《一年估值从 30 亿涨到 110 亿：Harvey 怎么边狂奔边招一千人》 — 作为概念

③ 关联

点进去有真内容 —— 本页主要出口

智能体 · Anthropic · Lenny · 招人 · 品味 · Codex · Claude · Lazar Jovanovic · Nikhyl Singhal · Max Hodak