Dan Shipper
① 他说过的话
21 条
我认为 AI 可能是推动美国就业回流的最大力量之一。
指向原始笔记的链接
I think that AI may be one of the biggest force for reshoring American jobs.
—— Dan Shipper · [05:05]
我认为人们真的忽视了 Claude Code 对非程序员来说有多好用。
指向原始笔记的链接
I think people are truly sleeping on how good Claude Code is for non-coders.
—— Dan Shipper · [07:16]
所以我注意到的是,你可以通过你可以给它多长的”绳子”去工作来判断 AI 变好了多少。
指向原始笔记的链接
And so what I have noticed is that you can tell how much better AI is getting by how long a leash you can give it to do work.
—— Dan Shipper · [14:57]
所以我认为 AGI 的一个好的定义是,什么时候让智能体无限期地运行在经济上是变得有利可图的?
指向原始笔记的链接
And so I think a good definition of AGI is when does it become economically profitable for people to run agents indefinitely?
—— Dan Shipper · [17:22]
Spotify 的 Tobi 杜撰了这个术语叫”上下文工程”,也就是把上下文传递给模型,在正确的时间传递正确的上下文,这至少占性能的一半。
指向原始笔记的链接
Tobi from Spotify coined this term called “context engineering,” which is getting the context to the model, the right context at the right time, is at least half the performance.
—— Dan Shipper · [23:32]
如果你整天在工作中,你在救火,你会想,“好吧,我是要用我知道的方式做这件事,还是用可能不奏效的新方式做?“
指向原始笔记的链接
If you’re working in a job all day, you’re fighting fires, and you’re like, “Okay, am I going to do this in the way that I know how or am I going to do it in the new way that might not work?”
—— Dan Shipper · [30:44]
所以基本上,对于每一个工作单元,你应该让下一个工作单元更容易做。
指向原始笔记的链接
So basically, for every unit of work, you should make the next unit of work easier to do.
—— Dan Shipper · [42:10]
但我的看法是,每当我看到一个拿着 ChatGPT 的孩子时,我都会说,天哪,他们的成长速度将比我共事过的任何其他人都快得多。
指向原始笔记的链接
But my take is whenever I see a kid with ChatGPT, I’m like, holy shit, they’re going to grow so much faster than any other person that I’ve worked with.
—— Dan Shipper · [48:45]
今天,他们是人类管理者,明天每个人都是模型管理者。
指向原始笔记的链接
Today, they’re human managers, tomorrow everyone’s a model manager.
—— Dan Shipper · [50:53]
GPT 包装器是惊人的,它们受到了很多毫无理由的诽谤,人们不理解它们是多么绝对有价值。
指向原始笔记的链接
GPT wrappers are amazing and they’ve been much maligned for absolutely no reason and people don’t understand how absolutely valuable they are.
—— Dan Shipper · [61:54]
这个产品甚至在技术上是不可能的,即使你在三年前有数十亿美元。
指向原始笔记的链接
This product was not even technically possible even if you had billions of dollars three years ago.
—— Dan Shipper · [67:28]
我认为第一大预测指标是,“CEO 使用 ChatGPT 吗?“,或者填入你自己的聊天机器人。
指向原始笔记的链接
I think the number one predictor is, “Does the CEO use ChatGPT?,” or insert your own chatbot.
—— Dan Shipper · [72:10]
我认为 SaaS 末日论是愚蠢的。
指向原始笔记的链接
I think the SaaSpocalypse is dumb.
—— Dan Shipper · [01:17]
智能体所做的是增加 SaaS 的用户数量,而不是摆脱它。
指向原始笔记的链接
What agents do is increase the number of users of SaaS, not get rid of it.
—— Dan Shipper · [01:20]
AI 末日(jobpocalypse)并不是真的存在。
指向原始笔记的链接
The AI jobpocalypse is not really a thing.
—— Dan Shipper · [00:10]
模型总体上做的是让昨天的人类能力变得廉价。
指向原始笔记的链接
What models do in general is they make yesterday’s human competence cheap.
—— Dan Shipper · [00:40]
我同时极其 AI 信奉(pilled)且非常看好人类。
指向原始笔记的链接
I’m simultaneously extremely AI pilled and very bullish on humans.
—— Dan Shipper · [00:24]
你的公司的发展程度只能达到你的 CEO 在 AI 方面的发展程度,而且这是你不能委托的事情。
指向原始笔记的链接
your company’s only going to go as far as your CEO goes in AI and it’s not something you can delegate.
—— Dan Shipper · [59:28]
我认为 AI 的前沿是 AI 遇到真实的人做事情的地方
指向原始笔记的链接
I think the edge of AI is wherever AI meets a real human doing something
—— Dan Shipper · [78:48]
我认为 SaaS 末日论是愚蠢的,而 SaaS 股票将在未来几年大幅上涨。
指向原始笔记的链接
I think the SaaS apocalypse is dumb, and SaaS stocks will be up majorly in the next couple years.
—— Dan Shipper · [37:13]
自动化是个谎言,从某种意义上说,每次你自动化某样东西时,为了确保自动化运行良好,你需要一个人在上面确保它运行良好。
指向原始笔记的链接
Automation is a lie, in the sense that every time you automate something, in order to make sure the automation is working well you need a human on top of it making sure that it’s working well.
—— Dan Shipper · [39:15]
② 出现在这些集
2 集
- 《Dan Shipper:15人零手写代码,AI原生公司怎么运转》 — 作为联合主持
- 《SaaS 不会死,PM 迎来黄金期:Dan Shipper 的 AI 工作预测》 — 作为联合主持
③ 他谈到的
点进去有真内容 —— 本页主要出口
Lenny · Claude Code · 智能体 · Codex · Every · SaaS · Cora · 前向部署工程师 · ChatGPT · PM
